Parent, Richard and James O Ellis III. 2016. “The Future of Right-Wing Terrorism in Canada” TSAS Working Paper 16-12. Canadian Network for Research on Terrorism, Security and Society. http://tsas.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/TSASWP16-12_Parent-Ellis.pdf
What is the range of likely scenarios for future right-wing terrorism in Canada, based on connections to radical movements in the US and Europe? Which factors or actions may mitigate the most likely scenarios? How might the future of Canadian right-wing terrorism be distinct from those of the US and Europe?
There has been a resurgence of right-wing terrorism in both the US and Europe, and Canada may see an upsurge in this threat in the near future. By comparing Canadian right-wing extremists with those abroad, policymakers and public officials can gauge the relative security threat posed by these groups and manage the unique challenges they create.
This research provides a general forecast of future violence based on recent changes within associated movements and networks, based in part on incident data established within the Canadian Incident Database (CIDB)—extremism.ca.